Video Transcription
"Money Waiting On the Sidelines"
Host 1: Amanda Drury
Host 2: Martin Soong
About CNBC's Squawk Box (Asia)
Squawk Box
is CNBC Asia’s morning show which focuses on updates after the US market closes.
There are institutions and investors with cash that are ready to return to the U.S.
markets for the right reasons, observes Todd Everts, president & CEO at Wall Street
Global. He tells CNBC's Amanda Drury & Martin Soong more.
Host 1: Todd, does anyone get the jump cable when we really need to go (gestures)like
this to the market at the moment..the credit markets, the equity markets…you name
it, everybody needs a bit of a jumpstart at the moment..do you think that these
RTC solution is going to be the answer to it?
Todd G. Everts: I think it’s the start, I’m not sure if it’s the ultimate
lifeline that’s going to solve the problem because there’s lots of problems in the
market that we’ve seen over time. Fortunately with the demise of such large institutions
that we’ve seen in the last 10 days the individual investor in the US has been resilient
and is probably going to continue to sit by the side lines and start to come back
into the market. It’s absolutely encouraging to see the market uplift so much in
the last hour of trading yesterday which means that there’s institutions and investors
with cash that are ready to come back in for the right reasons. the right reasons.
Host 2: Yeah Todd, come on the whole thing is whatever the shape this RTC
type energy takes today, isn’t just going to transfer mortgage risk to the taxpayer.
Somebody’s got to pay for this.
Host 1: Well we look back at what happen with the resolution trust company…
you had roughly about $260 billion worth of debt that was assumed by the US government
and then sold off to the tune of about 180 billion so the taxpayer did have a substantial
loss but let’s look at how aggressive the Fed was in negotiating with AIG where
they basically are getting… their capital back in 2 years libor plus a very high
coupon they still end up owning just less than 80% stake. If things work and it
turns, that actually could turn quite a profit for the treasury which might offset
some losses that this potential new resolution trust company style program.
Host 2: Yeah, the thing is they could actually end up making money out of
it. That’s pretty interesting but a lot of those can’t figure out is how Fed decision
making seems very arbitrary in many cases. You know..AIG fine $85 billion Lifeline
plus an 80% stake…Lehman let it go…Fannie and Freddie stepped in this case now they’re
setting up an RTC so that doesn’t to be that much consistency in decision making
or is there that we’re missing?
Todd G. Everts: Well I think they’re taking a very serious approach... obviously
this is an election year…they want to make sure the right candidates get elected
based on who they want obviously to run the next government …but I think what we
have to be careful of is -- with the changing government whether it’s the Republicans
or the Democrats, in the first quarter of next year we can see a dramatic shift
in policy so some of the things that they are doing now may not continue to have
the same effect in the 1st and 2nd quarters of next year because we’d simply have
a brand new administration and policy makers.
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